McDonald's sales fall as inflation-weary customers turn away from fast food (2024)

In short:

McDonald's sees its first fall in sales in nearly four years, as inflation-weary customers skip eating out.

It comes as US burger company Carl's Junior placed its Australian stores into voluntary administration this week.

What's next?

McDonald's CEO has told investors the company will rethink its pricing to get customers back.

Global giant McDonald's has recorded its first drop in sales in nearly four years, as customers cut back on spending amid a cost-of-living crunch.

Sales at locations open for at least a year fell 1 per cent over the April-June period compared with a year earlier — the first decline since the pandemic.

AMP deputy chief economist Diana Mousina said the global results were reflective of the "cost-of-living environment".

"Consumers in most advanced economies have pulled back a bit of spending relative to the post-pandemic high."

She said pressure has come from slowing labour markets, high inflation and interest rate increases.

"One of the first things that goes is take away food meals and holidays, those are the extra discretionary items you don't really need to have in your life," she said.

"You could eat at home for a cheaper price."

McDonald's sales fall as inflation-weary customers turn away from fast food (1)

Still cheap despite price rises

Prices at the checkout at fast-food chains, like most goods and services, have also gone up.

McDonald's said it had seen fewer customers walk through its doors, but those who came spent more because of price increases.

In Australia, the price of a Big Mac burger has risen nearly 40 per cent, from $5.75 in 2019 to $7.90 today.

"They've been going more expensive, but they have some good deals, which kind of shows that they could lower the prices a bit," said one teenage McDonald's customer in Sydney's CBD.

"Just for a small meal, it's 12 bucks already," he said.

Another international student diner at McDonald's said the burger joint was still the cheapest option, compared to other takeaway restaurants.

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The rising prices at McDonald's come as Australia's annual rate of inflation rises to 3.8 per cent, up from 3.6 per cent at the start of the year.

Year-on-year inflation of take-away foods and meals out at 4.2 per cent was higher than headline inflation.

Ms Mousina said the category was rising at a lower pace than food inflation, justifying some of the increases on the menu.

"Companies like McDonald's obviously have a very long supply chain, and they have themselves been getting price increases throughout the supply chain," she said.

"So if the cost of food, which is the main input for them, along with wages, has been rising at a faster rate than headline inflation, then you know that they might they may be able to justify their prices."

Trend seen across industry

It's not just McDonald's feeling the effects of inflation-weary customers — it's a trend seen across the fast-food industry.

Yum! Brands, the company that owns KFC and Pizza Hut, also reported a 2 per cent drop in sales in May.

It's not clear how McDonald's revenue in Australia has fared, but competitor Collins Food Group which owns KFC in Australia last month recorded a 500 per cent boost in net profit.

That might point to bleaker economic times elsewhere in the world.

Marketing expert Toby Ralph said the fast-food industry was a staple for many people, and more resilient than other takeaway or eating-out options, so it's feeling the effects "a bit later".

He said the fact McDonald's had reported a lower turnover, showed just how stretched the global economy is right now.

"When it's bad for McDonald's, it's bad for the entire industry. Cost of rent is up, and everything else and fast food is suffering," he said

McDonald's sales fall as inflation-weary customers turn away from fast food (2)

Pricing structure under scrutiny

But there may be good news for customers.

McDonald's CEO Chris Kempczinski told investors the company needed a 're-think' of its pricing structure, including meal deals and new menu items.

But those specials can end up providing big companies with bang for their buck if they upsell, according to marketing expert Toby Walsh.

"What they are likely to do is offer some super specials and promote them heavily," he said.

"And then when they get people in store, they'll basically say, 'Would you like fries with that?', meaning they'll try and upsell."

Mr Walsh said some items would act as loss leaders, while the company focused on upselling.

McDonald's sales fall as inflation-weary customers turn away from fast food (3)

The marketing strategist added that in tough economic times, major corporate giants could use that as an opportunity to gain an advantage – by advertising more, taking a bigger market share and then retaining it.

"What happens in a recession is that companies that can afford to advertise, do that and expand market share, and they tend to hang on to it longer," he said.

"Companies that are teetering on an economic cliff often go broke because they just can't sustain it."

He pointed to McDonald's, Guzman y Gomez and Hungry Jacks as companies that "will probably prosper" but said smaller groups were the ones that were "going to do it hard".

That's already being seen with one player in Australia's fast-food sector.

Just this week, American burger chain Carl's Junior placed its Australian stores into voluntary administration, affecting around 50 stores and leaving hundreds of jobs at risk.

ABC/AP

McDonald's sales fall as inflation-weary customers turn away from fast food (2024)

FAQs

McDonald's sales fall as inflation-weary customers turn away from fast food? ›

Global giant McDonald's has recorded its first drop in sales in nearly four years, as customers cut back on spending amid a cost-of-living crunch. Sales at locations open for at least a year fell 1 per cent over the April-June period compared with a year earlier — the first decline since the pandemic.

Are McDonald's sales declining? ›

McDonald's worldwide sales fell 1 percent in the April-June period, the fast food giant said on Monday, the first drop since the last quarter of 2020, when the COVID-19 pandemic and government restrictions closed businesses and kept millions of people at home.

Does inflation affect fast-food restaurants? ›

The Bureau of Labor Statistics' latest reading from the so-called fast-food index saw annual inflation for the sector come in at 4.8%. The BLS also found that prices in "limited-service restaurants" increased by 47% since 2014.

How has McDonald's impacted the food industry? ›

Analysts say McDonald's biggest impact on food has come in the form of rigorous controls over safety and quality, which other restaurants and chains have copied and improved on.

Is McDonald's getting less popular? ›

McDonald's global sales slumped in the second quarter, marking the first decline for the fast-food giant since 2020 as inflation-weary consumers pull back on eating out.

Is McDonalds growing or shrinking? ›

McDonald's revenue for the twelve months ending June 30, 2024 was $25.757B, a 6.46% increase year-over-year.

Why is fast food so expensive now in 2024? ›

In California, many franchisees said they had no choice but to raise prices after a new state law took effect on April 1, boosting the minimum wage for fast food workers from $16 to $20 an hour. There are signs, however, that the pendulum could be swinging back toward cheaper menu options.

What food is most affected by inflation? ›

Food price growth slowed in 2023 as economy-wide inflationary pressures, supply chain issues, and wholesale food prices eased from 2022. In 2023, prices for fats and oils grew the fastest (9.0 percent), followed by sugar and sweets (8.7 percent), and cereals and bakery products (8.4 percent).

Are fast food companies price gouging? ›

The Labor Department reports that over the past decade, prices at “limited service restaurants” (i.e. fast food joints) have risen by 47%, but research into specific sandwiches and sides at some of the nation's largest chains reveals even bigger price hikes.

Who is the largest buyer of potatoes in the world? ›

McDonald's Is The Biggest Buyer Of Potatoes In The World | Dave Liniger. Mcdonalds Potatoe Farms. Where Do Mcdonalds Get Their Farm Fresh Potatoes. Mcdonalds Potato Farmer.

Who is the largest buyer of chicken? ›

In 2022, the top importers of Poultry Meat were China ($3.76B), Germany ($2.51B), France ($2.05B), United Kingdom ($1.86B), and Netherlands ($1.69B).

What does McDonald's do to their meat? ›

Our 100% beef is ground, formed into patties, and then flash frozen. Flash freezing is when beef is quickly frozen to seal in fresh flavor. From the day it was formed, it usually takes about two to three weeks until the burger is served.

Why is McDonald's losing money? ›

McDonald's has traditionally won during difficult periods when consumers are cutting back on dining. But its affordability has taken a hit over the past several months, as franchisees raised prices to offset soaring costs for food and labor. That has hit traffic.

Is McDonald's financially stable? ›

McDonald's has the Financial Strength Rank of 4.

GuruFocus Financial Strength Rank measures how strong a company's financial situation is.

Is fast food industry declining? ›

Yes, inflation has caused headwinds in the $387.5 billion U.S. fast-food market (per Ibisworld) and may ding a rosy projection in the International Franchise Association's 2024 Economic Outlook, which forecast 2.2% growth in quick-service restaurant franchises.

What is McDonald's sales forecast? ›

MCD Sales Forecast

Next quarter's sales forecast for MCD is $6.62B with a range of $5.90B to $6.83B. The previous quarter's sales results were $6.17B.

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